The future of American democracy depends on whether people believe they have a reason to vote this November
We are mere weeks away from perhaps the most consequential election in American history. The good news, at least for your blood pressure, is that you can ignore the endless parade of horse-race polls. We already know everything we need to know about what will happen.
First, we can be confident that, for the third time in a row, a majority of Americans will reject Donald Trump and the Maga agenda. Last month, I used high-quality voter file data to explain why it’s almost certain that Kamala Harris, like Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton, will win the national vote.