Neither side will tolerate the necessary concessions until the US, Egypt and Qatar exert their considerable influence
Another round of ceasefire and hostage talks, this time in Doha, has ended in disappointment. This is in large part because Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, is unlikely to accept any agreement that Hamas could present as a victory – and has handcuffed the Israeli mediators with conditions that appear impossible for Hamas to accept.
Beyond the substance of any potential agreement between the two sides is the emotional juice of so much of the Israeli-Palestinian relationship: the battle for national dignity and honour. Huge quantities of explosives have been dropped on Gaza by Israel since 7 October because of the humiliation felt by all Israelis, and especially Israel’s leaders and military. So much of this war over more than 10 months has been fought on both sides as a war of revenge. Nonetheless, it also has major strategic consequences for Israel, Hamas, the Palestinian people, the nations of the region, and the world’s major powers – above all the United States.
Gershon Baskin is a former hostage negotiator and the Middle East director for International Communities Organisation, a UK-based NGO
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